13 October 2023 • by abovedev
‘Not so obvious locks’ are players who are not ranked in the top 10 this week, but who in my opinion, have the upside to finish there. If you want longer or interactive content, then subscribe to us on YouTube and catch our weekly episodes, including our start/sit advice live stream every Sunday at 11:30AM EST!
I like to hold my self accountable and stay transparent at all times, so here are last weeks NSOL’s and how they performed.
— Cardinals QB Joshua Dobbs finished as QB22 with 8.74 points scored
— Jets RB Breece Hall finished as RB3 with 28.4 points scored
— Packers WR Romeo Doubs finished as WR101 with 1.4 points scored
— Jets TE Tyler Conklin finished as TE12 with 10.7 points scored
Now let’s get into Week 6!
Brock Purdy has currently produced as QB7, throwing for over 1200 yards and 9 TDs. Purdy and CJ Stroud are actually the only two QBs with over 100 pass attempts this season that have zero INTs. Brock is coming off of three games back to back to back with 20 or more fantasy points and while he doesn’t rush for a ton of yards, he does have two rushing TDs this season.
The Browns defense has been really good vs QBs, but they’ve also only played against an injured Joe Burrow and then Kenny Pickett, Ryan Tannehill. Lamar Jackson played them in week 4, he’s a special QB though and they certainly couldn’t slow him down. Brock Purdy is capable of a big week vs the Browns and is my not so obvious lock of week 6 at QB.
James Cook faces off vs the Giants in week 6, a defense that has given up the 3rd most yards and 1st most TDs to RBs. Cooks only has 1 TD this season, 1 game with over 100 yards rushing and only had 5 points PPR in week 5, so I get the concern.
Still he’s been fairly consistent all season with 4 weeks of double digit fantasy points and is no doubt getting the lead back workload. I’m confident Cook will have a big bounce back week 6, so he’s my running back not so obvious lock of week 6.
Chris Godwin is coming out the bye week ranked as the WR45 in PPR, obviously only playing 4 games while others have played 5 makes his ranking look worse than it is, but still besides week 4 vs the Saints, he’s struggled to have a big week.
In week 6 vs the Lions, Godwin has a shot to once again score big in fantasy, as they are a middle of the pack passing defense who have given up some big weeks to wide receivers so far. Baker Mayfield has been doing better than most expected at QB for the Bucs as well, so with everything considered, Chris Godwin is my not so obvious lock of week 6 at WR.
Zach Ertz is sitting at TE15 through 5 weeks of football, with 22 receptions, 146 yards and 1 TD. Ertz has had 3 games with 8 or more targets, so he’s getting the work, he just has to convert more of those into big yardage plays and TDs.
Ertz is facing off against a Rams defense that let Dallas Goedert get 8 catches, 117 yards and a TD in week 5 and two Colts TEs scored TDs in week 4. Joshua Dobbs has been using Ertz as an outlet and there’s no reason for that to stop in week 6, making him my not so obvious lock of the week at TE.
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